Alberta’s population may surpass B.C. by 2038, says StatsCan
- ClearView Insider
- Jan 29
- 1 min read
According to new population projections from Statistics Canada, Alberta could overtake British Columbia as the third most populous province in Canada as early as 2038. In nine out of ten scenarios, Alberta's population surpasses B.C.’s by 2050, with projected growth reaching 6.5 to 8.1 million.
Demographers attribute this rise to two key factors: strong interprovincial migration and a younger age profile, which supports natural population growth. With more young families staying and building their lives in Alberta, the province is positioned to maintain a younger and more economically active population compared to other provinces.
However, this growth will place increasing pressure on infrastructure, housing, education, and employment systems. The building industry is optimistic but highlights the importance of municipal land readiness and support for mid-sized cities, not just Calgary and Edmonton.
Source: CBC News, “Alberta’s population could surpass British Columbia’s as early as 2038,” January 28, 2026.
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